Supplementary Material
Download supplementary material from our academic publications, provided in reversed chronological order.
ViEWS2020: Revising and evaluating the ViEWS political Violence Early-Warning System
Hegre, Håvard, Curtis Bell, Michael Colaresi, Mihai Croicu, Frederick Hoyles, Remco Jansen, Angelica Lindqvist-McGowan, David Randahl, Espen Geelmuyden Rød, Maxine Ria Leis and Paola Vesco (2021).
Journal of Peace Research 58(3).
https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343320962157
Appendices
FORECASTS AND REPLICATION DATA
- (Coming soon) Full database dump, February 2020 (dmp) corresponding to the state of the ViEWS system at the moment of the February 2020 run.
Civil Society and the Democratic Peace
Hegre, H., Bernhard, M., & Teorell, J. (2020). “Civil Society and the Democratic Peace”. Journal of Conflict Resolution
, 64(1), 32 62.
https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002719850620
ViEWS: A political violence early-warning system
Hegre, H., Allansson, M., Basedau, M., Colaresi, M., Croicu, M., Fjelde, H., Hoyles, F., Hultman, L., Högbladh, S., Jansen, R., Mouhleb, N., Muhammad, S. A., Nilsson, D., Nygård, H. M., Olafsdottir, G., Petrova, K., Randahl, D., Rød,
E. G., Schneider, G., Von Uexkull, N., Vestby, J. (2019). “ViEWS: A political violence early-warning system”. Journal of Peace Research, 56(2), 155-174.
https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343319823860
The article and its preprint were based on two different runs of the ViEWS model: the October 2018 run (main article) and the June 2018 run (preprint). Forecasts, replication data, and appendices for each of these runs and publications can be downloaded below.
Main article
Appendices
Forecasts and replication data
- Replication data, October 2018 run (zip). Replication data from the October 2018 run of the ViEWS model, including forecasts for September 2018 – October 2021.
- (Coming soon) Full database dump, October 2018 (dmp) corresponding to the state of the ViEWS system at the moment of the October 2018 run.
Preprint
- Preprint based on the June 2018 run of the model (pdf)
- Online Appendix: ViEWS Independent Variables (pdf)
- Online Appendix: ViEWS Monthly Estimate Tables, June 2018 (pdf)
- Online Appendix: ViEWS Monthly Estimate Tables, August 2018 (pdf)
- Replication data, June 2018 run (zip). Replication data from the June 2018 run of the ViEWS model, including forecasts for May 2018 – April 2021.
Evaluating the conflict-reducing effect of UN peacekeeping operations
Hegre, Håvard, Lisa Hultman, and Håvard Mokleiv Nygård (2018). ”
Evaluating the Conflict-Reducing Effect of UN Peacekeeping Operations“. Journal of Politics 2019 81:1, 215-232.
Introducing the UCDP-Candidate Events Dataset and the ViEWS Outcomes Dataset
Hegre, Håvard, Mihai Croicu, Kristine Eck, and Stina Högbladh (2018). “Introducing the UCDP-Candidate Events Dataset and the ViEWS Outcomes Dataset. Monthly updated organized violence data in the form of events data as well as aggregated to the country-month and PRIO-GRID-month level.” Typescript Uppsala University.
- Introducing the UCDP-Candidate Events Dataset and the ViEWS Outcomes Dataset (pdf)
- ViEWS Outcomes Baseline, Codebook (pdf)
- Baseline (non-imputed) datasets, covering January 1989 – December 2018 with a monthly resolution:
- ViEWS Outcomes (Monthly Aggregates) Dataset, Country Level (zip)
- ViEWS Outcomes (Monthly Aggregates) Dataset, PRIO-GRID Level (zip)
- Multiple imputed (5 times) dataset, covering January 1989 – December 2018 with a monthly resolution:
- Imputed ViEWS Outcomes (Monthly Aggregates) Dataset, PRIO-GRID Level (zip). The methodology for imputations is described in Mihai Croicu and Håvard Hegre’s 2018 article “ A Fast Spatial Multiple Imputation Procedure for Imprecise Armed Conflict Events“.
A Fast Spatial Multiple Imputation Procedure for Imprecise Armed Conflict Events
Mihai Croicu and Håvard Hegre (2018). “A Fast Spatial Multiple Imputation Procedure for Imprecise Armed Conflict Events”. Paper presented at the 59th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, San Francisco, California.
- A Fast Spatial Multiple Imputation Procedure for Imprecise Armed Conflict Events (pdf)
- ViEWS Outcomes Baseline, Codebook (pdf)
- Baseline datasets, covering January 1989 – December 2018 with a monthly resolution:
- ViEWS Outcomes (Monthly Aggregates) Dataset, Country Level (zip)
- ViEWS Outcomes (Monthly Aggregates) Dataset, PRIO-GRID Level (zip)
- Dataset containing 5 multiple imputations of the UCDP conflict data on the VIEWS outcomes (units of analysis) at the PRIO-GRID level for January 1989 – December 2018, for conflict events that do not resolve to a precise PRIO-GRID-cell:
- Imputed ViEWS Outcomes (Monthly Aggregates) Dataset, PRIO-GRID Level (zip)