red and blue light streaks
by Angelica
June 28, 2024

“Predicting Fatalities with Pre-trained Temporal Transformers: A Time Series Regression Approach”

Working paper documenting the prediction model submitted to the 2023/2024 VIEWS Prediction Challenge. Authors: Luca Macis, Marco […]
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by sofianordenving
June 28, 2024

VIEWS at the Humanitarian Data Forum

VIEWS Director Håvard Hegre presented during the first-ever Humanitarian Data Forum in The Hague from 12-14 June 2024. […]
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by sofianordenving
June 28, 2024

Climate, Health and Security with Stefan Döring

Between June 25th and 28th, Visby and the Almedals Week invites anyone to participate in thousands […]
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pile of newspapers
by Angelica
June 28, 2024

“Predicting fatalities using newspaper text”

Working paper documenting the prediction model submitted to the 2023/2024 VIEWS Prediction Challenge. Authors: Alexandra Málaga, Hannes […]
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a close up of a computer screen with a lot of text on it
by Angelica
June 28, 2024

“A Zero-Inflated Poisson Generalized Additive Model for Forecasting Conflict Fatalities”

Working paper documenting the prediction model submitted to the 2023/2024 VIEWS Prediction Challenge. Author: David Muchlinski and […]
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worm's eye-view photography of ceiling
by Angelica
June 28, 2024

“Probabilistic Conflict Forecasting with Automated Machine Learning”

Working paper documenting the prediction model submitted to the 2023/2024 VIEWS Prediction Challenge. Author: Vito D’Orazio
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Colorful software or web code on a computer monitor
by Angelica
June 28, 2024

“Forecasting fatalities from state based conflicts using Markov models”

Working paper documenting the prediction model submitted to the 2023/2024 VIEWS Prediction Challenge. Authors: David Randahl and […]
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closeup photo of turned-on blue and white laptop computer
by Angelica
June 28, 2024

The Drauz and Becker model: summary of the prediction model

Working paper documenting the prediction model submitted to the 2023/2024 VIEWS Prediction Challenge. Authors: Simon Drauz and […]
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selective focus photography of graph
by Angelica
June 28, 2024

“Temporal patterns in conflict prediction: An improved shape-based approach”

Working paper documenting the prediction model submitted to the 2023/2024 VIEWS Prediction Challenge. Authors: Thomas Schincariol, […]
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forest trees
by Angelica
June 28, 2024

“Random Forest Predictions with Dyad Features”

Working paper documenting the prediction model submitted to the 2023/2024 VIEWS Prediction Challenge. Authors: Kristian Skrede […]
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person facing computer desktop
by Angelica
June 28, 2024

The Bodentien and Rüter models: overview of the prediction models

Working paper documenting the prediction model submitted to the 2023/2024 VIEWS Prediction Challenge. Authors: Tobias Bodentien […]
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