ATLANTA DREAM Vs CHICAGO SKY PREDICTIONS: WNBA TEAM ANALYSIS
The Atlanta Dream and the Chicago Sky hope to return to the win column when both teams battle for supremacy on Tuesday, July 2, 2024 at the Gateway Center Arena in College Park, Georgia.
Losers of four of their last five, the Dream has been having a so-so June, only winning three of its 11 games.
Following their upset win over title contenders Connecticut Sun on June 29, Atlanta found itself on the back of the New York Liberty’s comeback victory. After leading by as many as 16 points in the first half, the Dream was unable to sustain its momentum in the second half, ultimately losing by six.
They will go up against a Chicago Sky team, who is coming off back-to-back losses against the Las Vegas Aces and the Minnesota Lynx.
Like the Dream, the Sky has also won three games in the month of June, resulting in them to further drop into ninth in the standings. What’s worse for the Sky, though, is they lost to the same Dream squad last month.
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Will the Sky finally get over the hump and beat the Dream? Will the Dream tighten their hold of the seventh spot as we head into the mid part of the season? Plenty of questions should be answered after this game but for now let’s look at how the current Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky betting lines stand.
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky DraftKings WNBA Odds Today July 2
Moneyline
- Atlanta Dream: -125
- Chicago Sky: +105
Spread
- Atlanta Dream: -1.5 (-110)
- Chicago Sky: +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (Total)
- OVER 159.5 (-110)
- UNDER 159.5 (-110)
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky Injury Report
Atlanta Dream Injury Report
- Aerial Powers – Out
- Rhyne Howard – Ankle – Out
Chicago Sky Injury Report
- Elizabeth Williams – Knee – Out
Best Odds for Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky
- The Atlanta Dream has covered the spread in their past two games. BetMGM offers the best Atlanta Dream odds to cover the -1.5 spread at -105.
- The Chicago Sky and the Atlanta Dream have averaged a total of 157 points in their past six meetings. BetMGM offers punters -110 odds for the Under 159.5 market total.
- The Atlanta Dream has beaten the Chicago Sky in four of their last five matchups. BetMGM has the best value for the Dream to win outright at -120.
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Why will the Atlanta Dream cover the spread?
The Atlanta Dream has been a middle-of-the-pack team this season. But if there is one thing to like heading into their match against the Sky is that they have actually beaten the Chicago Sky earlier this season.
- What’s even more impressive was the Dream did it on the road, beating the Sky 89-80.
- Former top overall pick Tina Charles led the Dream’s attack in that game with 22 points and seven rebounds.
Now, they return home after a short two-game road trip and take on a Chicago Sky team that hasn’t won a road game since May. After beating the Liberty 90-81 in New York last May 23, the Sky has lost three consecutive on the road.
If that’s not bad enough, the Chicago Sky is currently riding a two-game losing streak and has only won three of their last 10 games.
- Plus, the Dream has also covered the spread in their last two games despite losing to the New York Liberty on Sunday.
For Atlanta to extend their against-the-spread (ATS) win streak to three straight, they will need guard Alisha Gray and the 35-year old Charles to step up against a potent Chicago team.
- Charles has been averaging 13.8 points and 8.6 rebounds per game while Gray has season norms of 15.1 ppg and 3.9 rpg.
- Also expected to carry the scoring cudgels for the short-handed Dream squad is forward Cheyenne Parker-Tyus, who was impressive when these two teams last faced each other.
In their last matchup with Chicago, Parker-Tyus tallied 18 points, four rebounds, and four assists while shooting seven-out-of-12 from the field.
Why will the Chicago Sky cover the spread?
Albeit an injury to Elizabeth Williams, the Chicago Sky heads into the game much healthier than the Atlanta Dream. The Dream is expected to miss the services of guards Rhyne Howard and Aerial Powers, who combined for 21 points and 13 rebounds in their last matchup against the Sky.
With Howard and Powers out, expect guards Marina Mabrey and Chennedy Carter to impose their dominance and capitalize on the absence of the Dream’s backcourt duo.
- In their last game against the Minnesota Lynx, Mabrey and Carter combined for 26 of the Sky’s 62 points.
- It is also worth noting that the 24-year old Howard is the Dream’s leading scorer at 15.4 points per game.
Considering that the Dream is the worst scoring team in the league, the absence of Howard should hurt them even further, especially since they are taking on a Chicago Sky team that is one of the best defensive teams in the league.
- Chicago is currently ranked third in defensive rebounds and steals per game at 35.9 rpg and spg.
- Another thing worth noting is the Dream’s dismal ATS record at home. While Atlanta holds an overall 7-11 ATS record, they are only 2-7ATS at home.
Chicago, on the other hand, is 3-4 ATS on the road.
Although it’s not impressive by any means, the absence of two of the Dream’s offensive firepower will most likely make it less challenging for Chicago to cover the spread at this current Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky odds.
Plus, Chicago also has the manpower down low to limit Tina Charles in the name of rookies Kamilla Cardoso and Angel Reese.
The 22-year old Reese has been nothing short of impressive this season, averaging 13.5 points and 6.4 rebounds per game this season while Cardoso is no slouch either with season averages of 8.9 points and 7.3 rebounds.
Final Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky Prediction: Chicago Sky +1.5 (-110) Under 159.5 (-110)
Considering the form of the Atlanta Dream and the Chicago Sky, this is one of those games that could go either way.
- However, with the absence of Dream leading scorer Rhyne Howard and Atlanta’s ATS history this season, I am leaning towards the Sky to pick up its seventh win of the season in this game.
This is a risky pick considering that the Atlanta Dream have beaten the Chicago Sky in their last five meetings.
- Regardless, I am backing the much healthier team to get the job done and cover the +1.5 spread.
Another play I will be looking at is the under 159.5 at -110. Over their past six meetings, the Chicago Sky and the Atlanta Dream have averaged a total of 157 points.
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