WASHINGTON, DC - JUNE 07: Aliyah Boston #7 of the Indiana Fever handles the ball against Aaliyah Edwards #24 of the Washington Mystics at Capital One Arena on June 07, 2024 in Washington, DC. (Photo by G Fiume/Getty Images)
WASHINGTON MYSTICS Vs CONNECTICUT SUN PREDICTIONS: WNBA TEAM ANALYSIS
Cellar-dwellers Washington Mystics gun for its third straight home win while the Connecticut Sun hope to break a two-game losing skid when both teams collide on Thursday, June 27, 2024 at the Entertainment & Sports Arena in Washington D.C.
After an excellent start to the season, Connecticut has found themselves on the back-end of double-digit losses to the Las Vegas Aces and the Seattle Storm in their past two games.
They will be raring to get back into the win column considering a loss would drop them further down to the third spot.
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- But a stern test is waiting for the Sun as the Mystics are currently riding a two-game winning streak following a series of victories against the Dallas Wings.
Will the Mystics continue its winning momentum or will the Sun catch fire and return to its winning ways? As of press time, this is how the Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun betting lines stand.
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun WNBA Odds Today June 27, 2024
Moneyline
- Washington Mystics: +340
- Connecticut Sun: -450
Spread
- Washington Mystics: +8.5 (-110)
- Connecticut Sun: -8.5 (-110)
Over/Under (Total)
- OVER 156.5 (-110)
- UNDER 156.5 (-110)
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun Injury Report
Washington Mystics Injury Report
- Karlie Samuelson – Day-To-Day
- Aaliyah Edwards – Day-To-Day
- Shakira Austin – Hip – Out
- Brittney Sykes – Left Foot Sprain – Out
Connecticut Sun Injury Report
- Moriah Jefferson – Ankle – Out
Best WNBA odds for Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun
- The Mystics have covered the spread in five of their eight home games. The best Washington Mystics odds to cover the spread are in Caesars Sportsbook at -110.
- Caesars Sportsbook also has the best Connecticut Sun odds tonight at -110 to cover the -8.5 spread.
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- The last time the Washington Mystics beat the Connecticut Sun was in 2022. Bet365 offers the best odds for the Mystics to end their losing skid against the Sun at +350.
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Why will the Washington Mystics cover the spread?
There is no sugarcoating it: the Washington Mystics is one of the worst teams in the league as evident from their 4-13 (win-loss) record. But if there is one thing punters can trust about the Mystics this season is they actually fight for your dough.
- Throughout 17 games this season, the Mystics are 10-6-1 ATS (against-the-spread). They are also above .500 at home at 5-3 ATS.
What’s even more encouraging for Mystics bettors is that Connecticut is among the worst ATS teams in the Eastern Conference.
- The Connecticut Sun is 7-9 ATS overall and 3-4 ATS on the road.
While their head-to-head record is not encouraging, the Mystics have managed to keep their games close against the Sun losing by an average margin of 8.2 points in their six previous meetings.
But for the Mystics to give themselves a chance against the powerhouse Connecticut squad, they will most likely need agile center Stefanie Dolson to continue her stellar play.
- In their past two victories, the 32-year old Dolson put up impressive averages of 17 points and nine rebounds per game.
Should Dolson continue her hot streak and Washington gets a much needed boost from their other starters, it is not far-fetched for the Mystics to cover the spread.
Also expected to shoulder the offensive duties for the Mystics are shooting guard Ariel Atkins who currently leads the team in the scoring.
Following back-to-back 20-point games against the Indiana Fever and the Chicago Sky, the 27-year old Atkins was only limited to an average of 9.5 points, 5.0 rebounds, and 5.0 assists against the Wings.
While those numbers aren’t bad, she will need to step up against a potent Sun team, who currently ranks fourth in the league in field goal percentage.
Why will the Connecticut Sun cover the spread?
On paper, the Connecticut Sun is better than the Washington Mystics. In fact, they have beaten the Mystics twice this season, with the last win being a 76-59 massacre of the latter. I
- n their last match-up, the Sun just ran through the Mystics in the third outscoring Washington 26-10 en route to their biggest win of the season.
- Versatile shooting guard DeWanna Bonner led all scorers in that game with 20 points while Brionna Jones and Tyasha Harris added 15 and 14 markers respectively for the Sun to improve their record to 9-0.
Ever since that win though, the Sun has been playing mediocre basketball, winning just four of their last seven outings. Considering their history against the Mystics, the Connecticut Sun is in prime position to return to the win column and keep the second spot in the standings.
They will once again be relying on the offensive display of the 36-year old Bonner who has led the team in scoring in nine of Connecticut’s 16 games this season.
Also expected to carry the offensive load for the Sun is forward Alyssa Thomas, who has been filling the stat sheet this season.
- Throughout 16 outings, the 32-year old Thomas has been averaging 13.7 ppg, 9.6 rpg, and 7.7 apg.
Final Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun WNBA Prediction Today: Over 156.5 (-110)
The Connecticut Sun has been pretty dominant against the Washington Mystics in their past five matches, beating the latter by an average margin of 8.6 points.
- So, naturally going for the Sun to cover the spread is something one would consider.
Under different circumstances, it does make sense but the Mystics are playing at home and currently in a two-game winning streak. If that’s not bad enough, the Connecticut Sun is coming off a gut-wrenching defeat in their last game.
- Oh and lest we forget, the Mystics are among the best ATS teams in the league.
While Connecticut should win considering the talent on their roster, picking them outright to dismantle the Mystics offers no value at these current odds.
- That is why I am leaning towards placing a small punt on the over in this game, especially with the current form of both teams heading into the match.
One thing worth noting is that both teams reached over 160 points in three of their past five matchups. Although both teams only managed to reach a total of 135 points in their previous match, the current win streak and the crowd should propel the Mystics to keep the game close and make this a high-scoring affair.
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